Thursday, 10 May 2018
Sunday, 25 February 2018
Peacekeepers’ withdrawal from Somalia – A Somali Success Story or a new lifeline for Global Terrorism
Peacekeepers’
withdrawal from Somalia –
A Somali
Success Story or a new lifeline for Global Terrorism
Public Lecture - RL Vol XI No CCCXIII,
MMXVII
Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy & Sustainable Institutional Reforms
Abstract
Key words: Somalia, AMISOM, al-Shabaab, Alternative Conflict Management
See Lecture here or https://www.academia.edu/35444430/Peacekeepers_withdrawal_from_Somalia_-_A_Somali_Success_Story_or_a_new_lifeline_for_Global_Terrorism_RL_Vol_XI_No_CCCXIII_MMXVIIThe Global Governance Architecture: Drifts in International Economic & Partnership
The Global Governance
Architecture:
Drifts in International Economic
&Partnership
The
Bretton Woods Giants & BRICS (NDB & AIIB)
Public lecture RL Vol XI No XXVII, CXXIV,
MMXVII
Costantinos
Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy & Sustainable
Institutional Reforms
Abstract
The Bretton Woods Institutions are the World
Bank, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). They were set up at a meeting
of 43 countries in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, USA in 1944. Their aims were
to help rebuild the shattered post-war economy and to promote international
economic cooperation. It was developed at the United Nations Monetary and
Financial Conference. It has been apparent since before the turn of the century
that the post-World War II governance structures were untenable, because the assumptions
that formed their foundation were beginning to crumble. Because of the
challenges facing these institutions, the G20 finance ministers and central
bank governors established an eminent
persons group on global financial governance to make recommendations on how
to reform the world economy’s institutional infrastructure.
See lecture here or https://www.academia.edu/35296389/Drifts_in_the_Global_Governance_Architecture_RL_Vol_XI_No_CCCXI_MMXVII.pdf
Artificial Intelligence, the Singularity, Critical Thinking & Policy Realisation
Policy Reflections in the Rarefied
Ambience of Erudite & Jurisdictive Milieu
Public Lecture - RL Vol XI No XIII, CXXIII,
MMXVII
Costantinos Berhutesfa
Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy, School of Graduate Studies,
College of Business and
Economics, AAU
Abstract
Habermas differentiates three primary generic cognitive areas in which human interest generates and interprets knowledge
- termed knowledge constitutive, determining
the mode of discovering knowledge as well
as whether knowledge claims can be
warranted. These areas define cognitive
interests (learning domains)
grounded in unique aspects of social
existence -- work, interaction and power.
Much of the historical-hermeneutic disciplines belong to the domain of the practical, while the emancipatory domain identifies self-knowledge or self-reflection - interest
in the way one sees oneself, one’s roles and social expectations.
On the other hand, the 21st century will be dominated
by algorithms, arguably
the single most important concept in our world. Natural algorithms have
ruled every century with life in it since Darwin
discovered the fundamental algorithm
of evolution. Out of that dumb process-logic, arises all the intelligence
and complexity of all living systems. Algorithmic
forces exist and exert their powers in systemic and relational ways; they are
not driven by isolatable and intrinsic traits. They require sequential steps,
built from iterative if-then-else logic, driven by richer information
processes than physical forces. Closely associated with this is the Singularity,
an era in which intelligence will become increasingly
non-biological and trillions of times more powerful than it is today. It
heralds the dawning of a new civilization that will enable people to transcend biological limitations amplifying their
creativity. It emerges from Artificial Intelligence that denotes electronic, digital, virtual or
other non-biological and/or disembodied entities, which exhibit the function of
intelligence.
Machine-learning
systems excel at prediction and governments have much to gain from applying
algorithms to public policy, but controversies loom. (The Economist, 2016). Nevertheless, what does such critical thinking, singularity, algorithmic
forces & artificial
intelligence have to do with public policy - a legal, ethical & moral
dispensation by the executive branch of government, but emerging from constitutional, legislative and administrative laws, vis-à-vis a class
of issues in a manner consistent with institutional customs?
Key words: critical thinking, public policy, algorithm,
singularity, artificial intelligence
See lecture here or
https://www.academia.edu/35490358/Artificial_Intelligence_Heralds_Titanic_Prospects_for_Humankind_-_Public_Policy_Trajectories_Financing_Developing_and_Regulating_Artificial_Intelligence_to_ensure_Public_Safety_in_a_Terror-Ridden_World_RL_Vol_XI_No_CCCX_MMXVII
Sunday, 26 November 2017
A Battle of Verses for ‘Democratic Dominance’ RL Vol. XI No. CCXC, MMXVII
Existential Menace of an
Emergent Post-Truth Politics in the East-West Throngs of an Emerging &
World Order
Public Lecture - RL
Vol. XI No. CCXC, MMXVII
Costantinos
Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy & Sustainable
Institutional Reforms
Abstract
Post-truth politics, a
phenomenon that has now formally been adopted as an instrument of Global
Governance, is a political culture in which politics
(public opinion and media narratives) have become almost entirely disconnected
from policy (the substance of legislation) (Roberts, 2010).
Such is the post-truth era that when the Republican presidential hopeful, claimed that President Barack Obama ‘is the founder’ of Islamic State and the
Democratic candidate, the ‘co-founder’, even some of his supporters were
perplexed. Fake news – active
misinformation that is packaged to look as if it comes from a serious news site
– is a threat to democratic institutions. Nonetheless, such post-truth politics
harping on nuclear threats, populism and trade relations is giving way for
emerging market leaders such as China to fill in the void left by the ‘beacons’
of democracy, to chart new courses for global governance institutions.
Machiavelli thought pivots around a central, uncomfortable
observation: that the wicked tend to win. They
do so because they have a huge advantage over the good: they are willing to act
with the darkest ingenuity and cunning to further their cause. They are not
held back by those rigid opponents of change: principles. They will be prepared
to outright lie, twist facts, threaten or get violent. Global governance
shared the same fate after WWII, where the acerbic state leaders won the final
battle against the dilapidated people of Europe and Africa. Today, history
repeats itself by the same token where state leaders that are willing and able
to deploy their vast martial power on helpless nations and peoples such as Syria, Yemen and Libya. Global governance in most issue domains is
provided by a complex combination of these different bases, rather than by any
single one of them. In spite of all of the disorder and complexity associated
with global security issues, however, there is a great deal of purposive and
authoritatively rule-governed order present in the contemporary international system.
It is not always a very just or efficient system of governance, but it is
governance nevertheless, and is central to any understanding of attempts to
address contemporary security challenges (Biersteker, 2009: 11).
The lecture augurs on the analyses of transition
to global governance that are marked by several limitations. These include a tendency to narrow global governance to
the terms and categories of immediate, not very well considered, political and
social action, a naïve realism, as it were; and inattention to problems of
articulation or production of global systems and process within local politics
rather than simply as formal or abstract possibilities. Moreover, a nearly
exclusive concern in certain institutional perspectives on global governance
with generic attributes and characteristics of social, economic, cultural and
political organisations and consequent neglect of analysis in terms of specific
strategies and performances of nations in global governance creates ambiguities
as to whether society is agent or object of global change. Further, inadequate analysis
of the role of transnational companies and Bretton Wood Institutions and of
relations between global and indigenous dimensions of global governance creates
serious analytical limitations.
Key words: global
governance, analytical limitations, post-truth politics, emerging market
See link here or http://www.academia.edu/35179180/A_Battle_of_Verses_for_Democratic_Dominance_Existential_Menace_of_an_Emergent_Post-Truth_Politics_in_the_East-West_Throngs_of_an_Emerging_and_World_Order_RL_Vol._XI_No._CCXC_MMXVII
Watersheds of Ethical Governance Crises Curbing Resource Plunders in Africa – Theory and Praxis - RL Vol. XI No. CCXCIV, MMXVII
Public Lecture - RL Vol. XI No. CCXCIV, MMXVII
Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Professor
of Public Policy & Sustainable Institutional Reforms
Public Administration Ethics:
Theory and Praxis
Blocks I - Lecture and Seminar Notes, Series IV, AAU, Addis Ababa, 2013
Reviewed
2015
Abstract
Talks of
mal-governance and corruption have been a clarion call for government in recent
years. This paper looks at the theory and practice in public administration
ethics that will be valuable for leaders to take systemic measures to combat
unethical governance. In spite of fast growing
economies and notwithstanding the slavery and colonial and neo-liberal legacy,
that is still taxing the continent, new faces and forces of vulnerability and
poverty haunt the Africa region. These series of lectures consider
the relations between corruption, security and development. The public service
suffers from the pressures of economies, no less than those of politics. The realities
prevailing in Africa render expectations of Africa’s public service rather
unreasonable. For most junior public servants in Africa daily survival is nothing less
than a minor
miracle because their wages lag behind the requirements of self-reproduction. At a structural-political level, structural-cultural level and
epistemological level, is the conflict of the
legitimacy of the received
state. Its ‘public’ is nominal with the informal kinship-based; legitimacy of
salient values of indigenous African cultures and those of the value systems of
the modern state and the antimonies, distortions and confusions of an epistemological stance, which insistently
privileges perceives Africa in the image of the West.
Chronologically,
one discerns two overarching themes - the organisational context in which
individual administrators must work out ethical decisions and conduct, and
democratic values as normative touchstones for public administrative ethics.
Chronologically, the first to emerge clearly is that of the organisation as an
arena fraught with complicating factors for any would-be rational ethical
administrator. Democratic norms are found in the earliest of these works, but
are developed neither as lucidly, nor as progressively as the organisational
setting. Thus, democratic theory and values are deemed here to constitute a
minor theme, not in the sense of being less important ultimately, but in terms
of the attention paid to it in these works in particular, as well as in the
literature in general. Increasingly serious and systematic attention devoted to
the influence of organisational factors, both positive and negative, is quite
clear. At the outset, democratic values
are assumed the most basic values necessary for the study of public
administration ethics...
Key words: ethics, corruption, public administration, good governance
See link here or http://www.academia.edu/35208062/Watersheds_of_Ethical_Governance_Crises_Curbing_Resource_Plunders_in_Africa_Theory_and_Praxis_Public_Administration_Ethics_Theory_and_Praxis
Tuesday, 21 November 2017
The Global Passion for Data-ism – Is it An Emergent Tool for Rapid, Adaptive Public Policy? RL Vol. XI No. CCXCIII, MMXVII
The Global Passion for Data-ism –
Is it An Emergent Tool for Rapid, Adaptive Public Policy?
The environment in
which public policy is made has entered a period of dramatic change. Widespread
use of digital technologies, the Internet and social media means both citizens
and governments leave digital traces that can be harvested to generate big
data. Policy-making takes place in an increasingly rich data environment, which
poses both promises and threats to policy-makers. Helen Margetts,
2013
Public Lecture - RL
Vol. XI No. CCXCIII, MMXVII
Costantinos
Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy & Sustainable
Institutional Reforms
Abstract
Key words: data-ism, big data, algebraic modelling,
algorithm data modelling, augmentation & transform
Sweeping Devaluation Version 2 -2017 Propelling the Wheeler-dealer Speculative Trade Regime & a Predator Parallel Currency Markets into a Whirlwind Tailspin - RL Vol. XI No. CCCXCIII, MMXVII
Sweeping Devaluation Version 2 -2017
Propelling the
Wheeler-dealer Speculative Trade Regime & a Predator Parallel Currency Markets
into a Whirlwind Tailspin
Public Lecture - RL
Vol. XI No. CCCXCIII, MMXVII
Costantinos
Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy & Sustainable
Institutional Reforms
Abstract
Once again, the Birr has seen a round of devaluation,
shearing off 15% of the purchasing power vis-à-vis other currencies, driving
the parallel market from 1$ to 27 Birr to 30+ Birr and meteoric rise of prices
of goods in stock. Birr has had two drastic & numerous stealth devaluations
since the 90s but the nation is still unable to improve its balance of payments;
hence, the assumed actions of the state for more devaluations to right this
evil. This lecture argues that devaluation alone may not prove right, as aggregate
supply suffers after devaluation because of more expensive imported production
inputs, wage indexation and costlier capital.
Further, Ethiopia’s trade performance has been held back by a recipe of
factors that require macro policy therapy: high trade costs, onerous red tape, baffling
macroeconomic framework and policy mix ups that seem with reach, only elude, appears
manageable only to resist realisation. Only targeted structural transformation
and regional cooperation, juxtaposed to trade-friendly macroeconomic policy and
financial reforms would, if properly sequenced, enable it to use its abundant
factors of production.
The panacea for its persistent balance of payment deficit
and debt unsustainability is import substitution of food products by production
of cereals (wheat, maize, barley malt etc., edible oil, sugar, fertilizers and
other items) that are draining the nation billions. Ethiopia has 72 million
hectares of arable land and its river drain 122 billion cubic meters of water
out the nation. With proper policy and strategy, this can be and must done.
Imports part of the value chain of domestic production (machinery, spare parts,
raw material, etc.) for exports have a high import gist; devaluation badly hurts
their competitiveness in foreign markets. This can be ascribed to poor
governance and fragility of states. Economic governance involves improvements
in the technical competence and efficiency under a more accountable,
transparent and predictable public domain, whose missing links point to the dismal performance of states. While its
economic performance is invigorating, Ethiopia faces predictable armour of
trials rife in poor nations with too few wherewithal, while also wrestling with
the perpetual glitch of sequencing policy reforms, all subject to doctrinal
reins. Given the slim margins for manoeuvre imposed by a complex knit in its governance
fabric, getting the priorities right are the central issues to be addressed.
Monday, 30 October 2017
Statutory Trails in the Research, Policy and Practice Nexus Continuum - RL Vol XI No XL, CXXIV, MMXVII.pdf
Statutory Trails in the
Research,
Policy and Practice
Nexus
Continuum
Legislative
and Institutional Pathways interfacing the Research, Policy and Practice (RPP)
Nexus
Translating Research Evidence through Policy to
Practice
Public Lecture - RL Vol XI No XL, CXXIV, MMXVII
Costantinos Berhutesfa
Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy & Sustainable Institutional Reforms
Abstract
Key words: analytical challenges,
research, policy and practice
See link here or https://www.academia.edu/34932934/Statutory_Trails_in_the_Research_Policy_and_Practice_Nexus_Continuum_-_RL_Vol_XI_No_XL_CXXIV_MMXVII.pdf
Developing Political Culture in Fledgling African Democracies RL Vol XI No XLIII, CXXIV, MMXVII
What are the Political Transition Elements that are
Amenable to the Architecture of a ‘Western’ rendition of a Democratic State in
Africa?
Public Lecture - RL Vol XI No XLIII,
CXXIV, MMXVII
Costantinos Berhutesfa
Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public
Policy & Sustainable Institutional Reforms
Abstract
At the dawn of political liberalisation in Africa,
students, churches and labour unions are among civil society organisations that
played a crucial role in resisting arbitrariness. These organisations have been
spearheading the democratic struggle well before the recognition of political
parties & induction of pluralism. The leading role in the transition was
without doubt played by the press, the private press in particular, which
reported daily on what was stake in the repression of the pro-democracy
struggle. Better yet the interdictions, the multiple trials against journalists
have not dampened the combative fervour of a free press. It is assumed that the
inception of transition signifies the end of a stable set of rules that depict the
previous regime, and that the completion of the transition is marked by the
establishment of a new rule equilibrium. Nonetheless, ethnic and religious
purchased elections are prescription to perpetuate the new tyrants. Political
participation is not just a casting of votes - it is a way of life, hence, elections
are vital, but not a sufficient, condition for democracy. Electoral bodies
should develop extensive indicators for democratic political culture development
where the key to transition is the endowment of political rules and
institutions conducive to democratic transition (Costantinos, 1996). Good
economic performance decreases the probability of losing while the provision
of public goods in the election period affects the probability to accept an
election outcome. High tertiary education enrolment, ethnic religious
fractionalisation increase the probability of contestation of election results
by the challenger when the incumbent claims victory (Ncube, 2013). Political
factors, such as the strength of the opposition, multi-party system, civil
incumbent and power alternation increase the probability of the challenger winning
and taking over power. Abundant natural resources increase the probability of
incumbent losing but then deciding to cling to power, where empirical evidence
also shows that the type of former-colonizer of the country matters.
Key words: elections, political liberalisation,
democracy capacity development, political rules and institutions, multi-party
system, opposition, former-colonizers
See lecture here or https://www.academia.edu/34976733/Developing_Political_Culture_in_Fledgling_African_Democracies
Wednesday, 6 September 2017
Globalism’s Promises of Progress or Disorientation & a Shoddily -Prepared African Leadership - RL Vol XI No XXVI, CXXIV, MMXVII
Globalism’s Promises of Progress or Disorientation &
a Shoddily -Prepared African Leadership
Public lecture RL Vol XI No XXVI, CXXIV, MMXVII
Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos,
PhD
Published by Fortune
Addis
Abstract
Initial efforts by the African Union and the OAU to
develop and integrate Africa included the most comprehensive programme adopted
– The Lagos Plan of Action, Final Act of Lagos, Monrovia Symposium, Arusha,
Khartoum, and Addis Ababa Declarations, African Common Market, Cairo Agenda for
Action, Abuja Treaty. Africa also actively participated in a myriad of vastly
costly exercises in numerous multilateral initiatives. In the Libreville Declaration, African countries declared that they ‘are
committed to enhancing our cooperation at the international level and to
adapting the structure to meet the new challenges and to taking advantage of
the opportunities arising from the new environment’. Integration into the
international economic system underpins the need to search for and provide a
fresh and renewed focus in programming for the demands of globalisation,
develop approaches for integration, train policy makers in the art and
techniques of analysing global trends, learn from best practices in the areas
of resource mobilisation, borders trade and formulate and execute a system-wide
regional decade programme for human capacities in Africa.
Nevertheless, powerful forces and trends of unity and
disunity, chaos and order mark this moment of global transformation. The forces
of globalisation are dissolving old boundaries in a network of dialogue, flows
of information and trade. In advancing the case for world-class leadership in
Africa, it requires the defiance of the boundaries of inward-bound insight
(common sense), as an essential paradigm shift, of patterns of thinking and
behaving which, over the years, have built themselves into routines that pacify
African leaders to everlasting dormancy. Whatever we, as animators of development
and facilitators of entrepreneurial leadership, choose to be, we must have the
zeal, commitment, diligence, greatness of spirit, consistency and strength to
transform change management chaos into economic opportunities that can project
our communities on an irreversible global growth trajectory. Nonetheless, the issues
are whether the BRICS or the G20 will ignore or substitute for the views of the
G77 and whether the BRICS transactions with LCDs can alter North-South
interaction.
Key
words: globalism, Africa, leadership,
policy, strategy, structure, process
See lecture here or https://www.academia.edu/34482601/Globalisms_Promises_of_Progress_or_Disorientation_and_African_Leadership_RL_Vol_XI_No_XXVI_CXXIV_MMXVII.pdf
Thursday, 24 August 2017
Political Governance Underpinnings Private Sector Contribution to Growth & Transformation RL Vol XI No XXI, CXXIV, MMXVII
See lecture here or https://www.academia.edu/34339487/Political_Governance_Underpinnings_Private_Sector_Contribution_to_Growth_and_Transformation_RL_Vol_XI_No_XXI_CXXIV_MMXVII
Thursday, 10 August 2017
Civil Society under Siege: Community of Practice Gizmos - Block chain Technology as a Social Media Tool -RL Vol XI No XX, CXXIV, MMXVII
Civil Society under Siege:
Community of Practice Gismos
- Blockchain Technology as a Social Media Tool
Public Lecture - RL Vol XI No XX, CXXIV, MMXVII
Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos,
PhD
Professor of Public Policy, School of Graduate Studies,
College of Business and
Economics, AAU
Abstract
The military states, which succeeded the
colonial regimes, it is now widely acknowledged, thrived on graft and influence
peddling and existed for the benefit of the powerful African elites. The state
effectively disenfranchised the poor from participating in the decision-making
processes and resource allocation. The main drivers of the Arab Spring have
been poverty, rising prices, social exclusion, anger over corruption and
personal enrichment among the political elite, and a demographic bulge of young
people unable to find work. Moreover, Governments in many nations are
proclaiming laws that limit the remit of civil society organisations to
empower citizens in the framework of a political society and in some cases to
make such institutions illegal.
It stands to reason that the vistas for political transition hinge on
the actuality of a system of supportive civil society institutions. Nevertheless,
how can Communities of Practice be able to recognise institutional gaps that
inhibit a transition to designing programmes to help fill them? If social media (facebook, twitter…)
can bring about the Arab Spring, then
there is no shortage of possible applications for blockchain tools across Communities of Practice globally. This
lecture will explore blockchain’s
potential as an electronic platform for mobilising citizens is insightful and
not just for digital currencies, which were the first to make use of it.
Currently, civil society communication records, experiences in empowering citizens
on social media and internet exchanges are all private domains. The need to
create and connect Communities of
Practice globally among civil advocated is long overdue.
Key words: communities of practice, civil society,
advocacy, social media, block chain, political transition,
Picture
credit @ Floyd Pennington
See lecture here or https://www.academia.edu/34192642/CoP_Gismos_-_Blockchain_Technology_as_a_Social_Media_Tool_-_RL_Vol_XI_No_XX_CXXIV_MMXVII.pdf
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