Thursday, 12 February 2015

Famine! Again? An idiosyncratic challenge in the Horn



Once again, famine has began to strike the Greater Horn of Africa with apocalyptic force, with rows of fly-haunted corpses and the skeletal orphans crouched in pain, the nomads and pastoralist desperately scrambling for help. Despondent Somali mothers are abandoning their dying children as they travel to engulf crisis centres in Kenya and Ethiopia. Because there is always a tendency to find a solution that is smart, simple, and immoral to every human problem in Africa, states and their international backers tend to have a linear or at best binary logic and way of thinking that cast scepticism in their collective aptitude that is inadequate to unravel the many complex inter-relationships underlying vulnerability. The article suggests that an international elite made up of public intellectuals that can advance highly qualified research and policy reflection are indispensable elements to continually remodel, expand, renovate, cultivate, and develop sustainable solutions to the Horn’s famine.

Josette Sheeran, executive director of WFP told a conference in Rome in 2011 that a combination of natural disaster and regional conflict was affecting more than 12 million. "We are seeing all the points able to distribute food completely overwhelmed," she said, adding that a camp in Dadaab in Kenya that was built for 90,000 people now housed 400,000. I believe it is the children's famine, because the ones who are the weakest are the children and those are the ones we're seeing are the least likely to make it… we've heard of women making the horrible choice of leaving behind their weaker children to save the stronger ones or having children die in their arms.
UNHCR spokesperson Adrian Edwards at the press briefing, on 16 August 2011, at the Palais des Nations in Geneva said that an assessment of mortality in one of four refugee camps at the Dollo Ado complex in Ethiopia has found that death rates have reached alarming levels among new arrivals. Since the Kobe refugee camp opened in June, an average of 10 children under the age of five have died every day. While malnutrition is the leading cause of the high mortality, suspected measles is compounding the problem. Across all Dollo Ado sites we have seen 150 cases of suspected measles and 11 related deaths.
UNHCR in 2011 claimed that preliminary assessments showed that an estimated 95 percent of the new arrivals were women and children, with the majority in a very poor nutritional and health states. The mission described the overall situation as desperate and called for urgent humanitarian aidparticularly since local Ethiopians, themselves hit hard by the drought, have been sharing their meagre supplies.
Has lessons been learned?
The famines of the past few decades have indeed been a cruel test in Greater Horn of Africa. While the outpouring sympathy and generous response of the international community have been phenomenal, the actions of the firemen of international disasters had brought to light some serious doubts about the ability of such fire fighting interventions to reduce peoples' vulnerability. Today, the crises assume new dimensions as changing production relations, spurred by socio-economic adjustments set the pace of livelihood security. Conflicts, corruption, poverty, and pandemics now threaten the region with a calamity unforeseen even during the Great Famine of the 1980s, so much so that the G8 has made this a basket case for international action as Somalia becomes a new insignia of human bestiality, a failed or collapsed state, to use a nauseating acronym.
When the basic functions of the State are no longer performed, they breed widespread internal conflict, revolutionary and ethnic wars, adverse regime change, genocide, politicides, and de facto or de jure loss of state authority. The consequences have domestic effects in terms of conflict trap, wild arms spending and economic consequences. The neighbourhood effects breed conflict spill over and havens for terrorists. Determinants of potential state failure are material deprivation of citizens: unfulfilled expectations, difficulty of delivering quick results, urban bias, security constraints.
It also has international influences: openness to trade, conflicts in neighbouring countries, large illicit influx of money, corruption, foreign aid footprint. In addition, ‘war lords’ jockeying as states men capture the regime. It is the dilemma of re-building country vs. the state; where alternative delivery mechanisms de-legitimise government, slow the process of genuine institution building, advance an unrealistic reform agenda, and focus on pseudo-democracy façade in response to multiple and varied donor agenda.
Smart, simple, and immoral answers to complex problems
Hence, the demand for some important attitudinal shifts among thinkers and policy makers and the challenges of designing concepts and models that will help harmonise the human dimension in development will never be more acute. Inspired by a new orthodoxy that has evolved with the upsurge of professionalism on such emerging ideals; the eighties had provided a fertile ground for the discourse on the debate that ensued regarding human wellness which, in its own right, is long, trying and, at times, counterproductive. Nevertheless, while many proposals for remedial action have been formulated, real commitment to positive and collaborative processes at inter‑organisational levels has always been limited. Mobilizing the action required has also remained a daunting challenge, as many practical and structural constraints militate against commitment by individual groups to inter‑organisational initiatives nationally and regionally.
Furthermore, the tragedy taking such a heavy toll of life has highlighted fundamental weakness of state five-year development strategies and emasculated actions of donors; that are outpaced by the human emergencies that arise. This has ensued questions about many preconceived notions and new ideas proposed, including efforts that can be made to improve our understanding of human insecurity, to estimate the risks resulting there from, accurately and to make adequate preventive measures ahead of time.
Because there is always a tendency to find a solution that is smart, simple, and immoral to every human problem in Africa, states and their international backers tend to have a linear or at best binary logic and way of thinking that cast scepticism in their collective aptitude that is inadequate to unravel the many complex inter-relationships underlying human vulnerability. It is neither popular nor scientific. Hence, the issue is about the need for collective learning about responses, and the responsibility to those whose suffering provided the basis for that learning which will never be more urgent than it is now. Unfortunately, such lessons, which may be learned through the shocks administered by an uncompromising reality, are rarely translated quickly into personal or organisational memories and the inherent will to change.
The reasons for this are rooted in human inertia, weakness, and self-interest and are equally often the products of a genuine confusion about how to act most effectively in an environment that is growing more complex. Unfortunately, it boils down to Shakespeare dictum, to be or not to be is the question, whether it’s nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous misfortune, or to take up arms and by opposing them to end them, to die to sleep the heartache and shocks that the flesh is heir to… It’s a consummation devoutly to be wished for, to die to sleep…
Jacques L. Hamel underpins the Strategy of Subversive Rationalization, emphasising the internalization of the scientific method and rational modes of thinking as well as the assimilation of crucial scientific knowledge, as the epistemological foundation of any kind of modernity; stressing the necessity of revoking conformist, traditionalist or totalizing belief and knowledge systems, worldviews and cultures that stand in the way to essential changes, a project of liberalization, trans-nationalization, systematization and humanization processes. Denials by leaders notwithstanding, it relies on calculative thinking as the most viable civilised horizon of a potentially budding region, whose tortuous march to modernity may necessitate an imaginative strand of thinking and a complementary strategy.
Exultant techno-scientific canons of belief need not lead inevitably to the profligacy industrial cultures. They need not to be a model for an African modernity, which can avoid being exceedingly obsessed, framed or ordered by technology. Humans, knowledge and technology are co-emerging, coevolutive and mutually co-constitutive of each other. Nevertheless, how does this ‘modernisation’ emerge under phantom states in the Horn?
The phantom opera
Daniel L. Byman of the Brookings Institution articulates this as  
Phantom states stoke wars, foster crime, and make weak states even weaker. Leaders of phantom states champion state control of the means and instruments of livelihoods and the right to national self-determination while the countries from which they seek independence stress the need for stable borders. Stuck between these incompatible principles, phantom governments tend to point out uncomfortable precedents and double standards and latch on to foreign patrons. Indeed, most phantoms survive in part because of external support. Even when a phantom state becomes a genuine state, the problems don’t necessarily end there.
Framing the conundrum of famine agents correctly is as significant, if not equally eminent, as unpacking the catch-22 predicaments that render nerveless the considered opinions of the fire fighters in such a situation that lends itself to introspection of the complexity and uncertainty such issue lend themselves to. The orthodox, if not democratic, notion of famine victims demanding accountability from those fire fighters posits the existence of a shared principled-cosmos wherein such accountability is encapsulated in shared values – a paramount dictum of the recent African Union Summit in Addis Ababa on Shared Values.
While the much tooted climate change summits have borne little fruit in terms of immediate action for a starving Horn, international policy dialogue on these timely and apposite issues will legitimately enhance leadership capacity to effect change in stemming the tide of hunger; however constrained by their economic doctrines and ideological leanings they may be. After all, leaders are expected to develop the capacity, through their statements and actions, to shape debate, dialogue and morality, to determine what is environmentally and socially acceptable, culturally sound and politically uplifting. Indeed, policy leadership is a calling that requires intimate knowledge of public policy analysis, formulation, management and strategic plans to implementing them. This is especially important in the region, where the policy imperatives involve trying to change attitudes and behaviour of principalities that are only informed by violent conflicts for many decades.
Notwithstanding the Social Darwinism it might evoke (because, in practice, research on social mobility favours the progeny of those who are already privileged in some way), meritocratic governments stress talent, education and competence, rather than differences in social class, ethnicity or sex.. In a system where power is theoretically in the hands of elected representatives, meritocratic elements include the use of knowledge to formulate policies. Nevertheless, while one of the most compelling forms of passive demonstration of people’s will are free and fair elections, historical evidence suggest that pluralism cannot be nurtured in masqueraded ‘tribal’ elections and the turbulent, under-urbanized societies in much of the Horn.
Indeed, an international elite made up of public intellectuals that can advance highly qualified research and policy reflection are indispensable elements to continually remodel, expand, renovate, cultivate, and develop sustainable solutions to the Horn’s famine. In the interminable faculty of such elite coalitions to innovate and their unquenchable desire to reinvent, developed nations reap the developmental booty of an exceedingly proactive and skilled entrepreneurial leadership… This may be the only remaining option if we opt not to witness a replay of the 1980’s horror of the Great African Famine. Preparedness, prevention and mitigation must all be embedded in entrepreneurial development and in the human security dictum of freedom from fear and freedom from want.
Quo Vadis! The Horn
The central hypothesis in human security development is that the relative strength of political organisations determines the rules of the political game that are installed. It requires a plural set of political organisations which promote and protect rules of peaceful political participation and competition. Together, plural organisations plus rules of accountability ensure control of the state executive. In taking an institutional perspective, we assume that actors in the political system express preferences through organisations and that these organisations vary in strength according to their resource base. A far-reaching agenda of security reform and the significant start that has been made with a succession of AU resolutions including the fact that the Constitutive Act of the AU precludes as a member any state that take's power by unconstitutional means is a necessary milestone, which can be followed by deepening constitutionalism and adopting ever-higher standards for human security. More than any other regions in Africa, the sub-Region needs a workable and coherent peace and security architecture.
In the long term, security is best guaranteed by democratic, accountable and stable states and assertive civil societies, presiding over and driving human development. Nevertheless, the international community has also a duty under the ambit of the 'responsibility to protect'. The concept of the has been unanimously embraced by the UN GA in the UN 60th Anniversary World Summit in September 2005, and reaffirmed subsequently by the Security Council. Unlike many declarations that have preceded it, one can witness the emergence of what can reasonably be described as a brand new international norm that removes the thin veneer of sovereignty from states and a novelty in the conduct of international relations: from ‘non-interference to non-indifference’. This requires

  • Policy and Programme Framework: Policy and Programme Framework defines the stakeholder commitments, strategic coordination of political, policy and programme interventions and partnership framework
  • Partnership: the sub-region's response to human insecurity must be based on a commitment to ensure that solutions to the challenges of security and development arise from an enhanced capacity of individuals, families, communities and institutions to understand the nature of insecurity in own contexts.
  • Strategic coordination of political interventions is required to address it in adequate scope and depth.
  • A Code of Practice will contribute to on‑going efforts by the partnership towards commitment to the use of standard human security management practices and encourage societies and polities to develop a collective capacity for advocacy…

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