Africa faces the
usual panoply of challenges endemic in developing countries with too few instruments
and too few resources, while also grappling with the perennial problem of
managing development. These are sequencing of policy reforms, all subject to
the political constraints of containing the disruptive impacts of policy
reforms to acceptable levels. This is a particularly important problem for
Africa given the very narrow margins for manoeuvre imposed by fiscal and
external deficits, subsistence levels of household income for much of the
population and a complex political weave in the regions social fabric. Getting the priorities right and
managing change are thus particularly vital issues for African integration.
Hence, infrastructure development (energy, ICT, roads, railways, hydro dams,
power transmission and industry – sugar factories, metallurgy, fertilizer
plants…), a consumer goods revolution is just beginning in much of Africa.
Emerging export industries—in mining, manufacturing and exportable services—are
already making their mark as sources of growth in the economy and will soon
overtake traditional foreign exchange earnings from minerals and agricultural
goods. However, two overwhelming pressures in Africa’s current economic climate—inflation
and challenging new regulations—are putting strains on private business and
could potentially dent the country’s positive growth prospects. Hence, Africa
should modify regulatory policies that inflate business costs and depress urban
consumer incomes, go for bolder and more unconventional agricultural policies
and put in place a smarter set of policies for the financial sector.
Much of
the public investment laid out in the two cases are needed, justified, and on
the whole appropriate, but how such investment is to be financed remains only
partially addressed and the issue of who should carry out the investments is—in
at least three specific cases—quite questionable. The case for government
investments in public goods such as roads and power infrastructure is undeniable,
as it is laying the essential foundations—the necessary conduits and
circuitry—of a modern economy.
Key words: infrastructure, transformation, entrepreneurship,
capital, policy, trade, peace & security
See paper here
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