Wednesday, 28 September 2016

Public Policy, Diplomacy & Nation Branding in a Digital Epoch: The ‘Delinked Diplomat’ RL- CCXIII, MMVI Vol XI No XXI



Abstract
        Diplomatic missions to Western nations, at least in their traditional form, are facing a crunch of existence. The 21st century has dramatically changed the way nations interact with each other. The speed at which information is exchanged, economic crises spiral, complex security menaces emerge and the way states communicate in real time all raise the issue whether permanent plenipotentiary & extraordinary attachés are still relevant. Gone are the days when the Treaty of Wuchalle between Ethiopia’s Emperor Menelliqué and Italy that were concluded through diplomats in the 1880s. Today, information transcends plans & frontiers, trillions move unimpeded across a global network of swifts and networks are fast swapping the pecking order. As opposed to closed-door diplomacy, media transparency is the clarion call of the day, crowding out diplomatic pride.
        In this world of instantaneous social media where leaders proclaim positions on international matters without even telling their emissaries, old-style diplomats struggle to sustain their relevance. Hence, while missions still make the bulwark of international affairs, fundamental forces that demand change include revolution in information technology, proliferation of new media, knowledge on globalization of business and finance, public participation in complex issues that transcend national boundaries. Diplomacy must be overhauled to make it more accessible, participatory, technology driven in deliberations and implementation. Ending the culture of secrecy and exclusivity is a requirement for developing a collaborative relationship with the public. Further, it is to adopt a disciplined coordination model for the conduct of diplomacy. Another immediate need is a renaissance of professionalism. The potential solution scenarios discussed in the paper are strategies for new branding of nations, governance and leadership capacity, founding independent private sector think tanks and a renewed role for embassies (Oliver, 2016).

Key words: diplomacy, public policy, information age, globalization

See lecture here or  https://www.academia.edu/28765827/Public_Policy_Diplomacy_and_Nation_Branding_in_a_Digital_Epoch_The_Irrelevant_Diplomat_-_RL-_CCXIII_MMVI_Vol_XI_No_XXI



Intellectuals analyze the operations of international systems; leaders build them. There is a vast difference between the perspective of an analyst and that of a leader. The analyst can choose which problem to study, whereas the leader’s problems are imposed on him. The analyst can allot time to come to a clear conclusion; the overwhelming challenge to the leader is the pressure of time. The analyst runs no risk. If his conclusions prove wrong, he can write another treatise. The leader is permitted only one guess; his mistakes are irretrievable. The analyst has available to him all the facts; he will be judged on his intellectual power. The statesman must act on assessments that cannot be proved at his time; he will be judged by history on the basis of how wisely he managed the inevitable change and, above all, by how well he preserves the peace ― Henry KissingerDiplomacy

Tuesday, 13 September 2016

Civil Service Policy Meritocratic and Human Quality driven Public Sector Management

Civil Service Policy
Meritocratic and Human Quality driven Public Sector Management

Respublica Literaria CXV, MMXVI RL Volume IX No CCXXIV
Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy, School of Graduate Studies,
College of Business & Economics, AAU
Abstract
       A disciplined, healthy, nourished and motivated labour force is required to produce and distribute the goods and services needed for sustained human development. Leadership teams that are committed and willing with positive attitude to facilitate the process of opening up greater opportunities for every citizen are needed. The sector would require a proactive and innovative managerial and entrepreneurial team with capacities and will power. The crux of the challenge therefore, is creating, retaining and putting to productive use peoples with such qualities throughout the economy. It is about having the ability and willingness to identify, sequence and execute human-centred development priorities and programmes.
        The Ethiopian Civil Service was founded in 1961 when the Central Personnel Agency (CPA) was established modelled after the American Civil Service. The first radical measure to build the capacity of the civil service was initiated with the implementation at the Public Sector Capacity Building Programme (PSCAP) that has begun in earnest in 2005. Towards this end, the hypothesis of this study focused on the development of a neutral civil service, which participates in the political process. In spite of PSCAP’ efforts, there are numerous  impediments to develop a meritorious civil service The directional pointers for change point to the legitimacy of the civil service reform process underway in Ethiopia that will depend in important ways on it being perceived as reasonably honest, transparent and accountable in the execution of the state’s responsibility. Political leadership of the civil service requires intimate knowledge of public policy analysis, formulation and management and development of strategic plans and implementing them.
     The recommendations to develop an independent civil service augur on Systematic & independent review of capacities and utility of civil service institutions, Results Oriented Performance Appraisal System (ROPAS), and the Rights-Based Approach to developing the civil service institutions. Furthermore, the state needs to develop Knowledge Management Systems (KMS) augured on integration and mainstreaming and developing a Code of practice for the Communities of Practice (CoP), stopping the brain drain from  the nation and the civil service, and leadership capacity building. An important issue is the remuneration, post adjustment and career incentives of civil servants. An independent study launched into merit-based HRD Strategic Planning and founding Independent human quality development think tanks.

Key words: meritocracy, civil service, PSCAP, RBA, CoP, ROPAS, KMS, remuneration, career

See paper here or  https://www.academia.edu/28447951/Civil_Service_Policy_Meritocratic_and_Human_Quality_driven_Public_Sector_Management_-CXV_MMXVI_RL_Volume_IX_No_CCXXIV

Monday, 12 September 2016

Rationale, Utility & Founding Independent Policy Think Tanks

Ethiopia: Rationale,
Utility & Founding Independent
Policy Think Tanks
A Primer for founding independent home grown think tanks for Societal and Political Development in Ethiopia
Public Lecture - Respublica Literaria – Vol. IV No XXX, CXXI, MMXV
Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy, School of Graduate Studies,
College of Business and Economics, AAU
Think tanks continually remodel, expand, advance, renovate, cultivate and develop mighty economies even when their models are doing well. Their brand of enterprise appears to have something going for it—so it may seem ill natured, or outright wicked, to wonder how much better such nations might do if their think tanks really tried hard. Independent private sector think tanks that execute highly qualified research and policy reflection are indispensable elements for partaking in modernity and globalisation.  It is the fundamental assertion of this dialogue starter think piece that learning about and appreciating one's rights, duties, obligations and responsibilities as a citizen and the immediate rules, laws and governance structures within which Ethiopians exercise citizenship is the first and fundamental step in human security and development. The development of cultural democracy promises the emergence of a unique trait of citizens, promising ethnic divergence and détente, and achieving human security and development, subject to intellectual leadership of think tanks. Further, they determine the development of state corporate strategic plans for the 21st Century, capacity for policy and strategic harmonization, knowledge management systems, creating and retaining critical human skills, and a research compass reading that zeroes on introduction of the concept of futuristic talk and thinking gender equality, human rights in a society in transformation and communities of practice. In the interminable faculty of think tanks to innovate and unquenchable desire to reinvent, developed nations reap the developmental booty of an exceedingly proactive and skilled entrepreneurial leadership well informed by think tanks. Ethiopia must finally mount itself on an irreversible trajectory to instilling that culture of pluralism and dialogue -- to build a self-governing society and self-reliant society out of the vestiges of centuries of authoritarianism.

Key words: Independent Think Tanks, Research, Dialogue, Policy Reflection,

See article here or https://www.academia.edu/28314628/Ethiopia_Rationale_Utility_and_Founding_Independent_Policy_Think_Tanks

Wednesday, 31 August 2016

China’s ‘Silk Road’: A drive for Global Integration or simply a Metaphor for Hegemonic Quest

China’s ‘Silk Road’:
A drive for Global Integration or simply a Metaphor for Hegemonic Quest
Public Lecture - Respublica Literaria– Vol. IX No. XXXVI, CXXI, MMXVI
Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy, School of Graduate Studies,
College of Business and Economics, AAU
Abstract

The Silk Road or Silk Route was an ancient network of trade routes that were central to cultural interaction through regions of the Asian continent connecting the West and East from China to the Mediterranean Sea. The Silk Road derives its name from the lucrative trade in Chinese silk carried out along its length, beginning during the Han dynasty. One of the most acclaimed Silk Road projects is the One Belt, One Road initiative put forward by China, a project, which was first formulated in 2013 during a trip to Central Asia, has resonated with both the region and the wider globe. It spans almost the entire Asian continent, even extending as far as East Africa and Europe and a Maritime Silk Road, covering Southeast Asia, South Asia, East Africa, and Europe.
Beyond being a simple transport corridor, it envisages economic integration of the countries along its path. The first of the five basic areas of cooperation envisioned in the project is based on the integration of transportation (railways, highways, airways, and ports) systems and the joint use of energy and natural resources as well as their extraction operations. China’s One Belt, One Road initiative has received the support of countries throughout the region, but some important players consider the project as an attempt by China to snatch regional and global hegemony, stemming from worries that Beijing wishes to increase its political influence by using its economic power. It is obvious that if the project becomes successful, the Chinese economy will be the first to benefit. If it fails, it becomes a disaster for China. In all this, Africa needs to assemble the required mettle to change power relations in its dealings with China.

Key words: Silk Road, One Road, One Belt, Integration, Security, Trade,

See lecture here or paste this  in your browser  https://www.academia.edu/28043870/Chinas_Silk_Road_A_drive_for_Global_Integration_or_simply_a_Metaphor_for_Hegemonic_Quest

Tuesday, 23 August 2016

Inductional Realism of Credit & Capital Markets in Africa

Inductional Realism of
Credit & Capital Markets in Africa
Synopsis of a Feasibility Study of Credit & Capital Markets in Africa
Based on a Consultancy Report to the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa UNECA, Addis Ababa, Lecture updated 2014 Respublica Literaria CXIV, MMXVI –
 Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Abstract
An efficient and a development-oriented private sector provide the nourishment, which these markets require to grow and function effectively. The markets themselves provide the credit ingredients, which the private sector requires to grow, expand and contribute to development. Thus, there is a reciprocal and mutually productive relationship between the private sector on the one hand and credit and capital markets, on the other hand. The analysis further suggests that countries should incorporate the requirements of establishing capital markets and strengthening the private sector in the list of priorities on their macro-economic reform programmes. Primarily, the banking system must be firmly entrenched and functioning as efficiently as planned. This should take good care of the money market and hence the credit market needs of rudimentary private sectors. The consequential growth response of the latter should give a boost to capital markets, which in turn provide the capital for long-term and sustained development. The study provides ample evidence that this evolutionary process is well underway in several African countries.
The purpose of the study is to sensitize African countries on issues that are pertinent to the establishment of credit and capital markets. The dismal pace of developing credit and capital markets can be attributed to policies of colonial regimes where deliberately antagonistic to the evolution of a viable private sector, which was not intended to bring about the social and economic development and did not encourage the development and strengthening of capital markets. This study is predicated by the rationale that credit and capital markets can make positive contributions to the sustained and sustainable development of African countries. The aims of this study are to explore the feasibility of comprehensively developing and strengthening the capacity of financial and capital markets in Africa in order to promote entrepreneurship. The objectives of the study are to advance explicit clarification of the role of the private and public sectors in view of the interactive role of these sectors and the implications for capital markets development.

Key words: credit, capital, markets, finance, intermediation, banks, insurance, unions,
See paper here or paste the link https://www.academia.edu/27957778/Inductional_Realism_of_Credit_and_Capital_Markets_in_Africa

Sunday, 14 August 2016

Analytic Dynamics in Engaging Crises-Affected Societies

    
Analytic Dynamics in 
Engaging Crises-Affected Societies:
Non-State Actors in Preserving & Advancing
Self-esteem Integrity and Innovativeness
Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD
Professor of Public Policy, Addis Ababa University
Trustee, Africa Humanitarian Action
costy@costantinos.net
A dialogue starter think piece - CX, MMXIII Vol X No IX
 Towards the implementation of the Common African Position (CAP) and the commitments of the World Humanitarian Summit (WHS):
The Role of the Non-State Actors for Effective Humanitarian Action
Sheraton Addis, Addis Ababa, 15 August 2016
    One outcome of the WHS is theGlobal Alliance for Humanitarian Innovation that will accelerate transformative improvements in humanitarian action by creating a shared space for the development of innovative tools, approaches and processes’. The CAP too underscores that ‘effective and mutually reinforcing partnerships are of paramount importance in humanitarian action’. Far more critical in determining both the level and quality of dialogue and strategic humanitarian partnership is the political and economic context in which crises–affected societies find themselves. Hence new ‘rules’ of engagement must be based on the fundamental perception, that peo­ple can be the handmaiden of human secu­rity. While participation is a common strand used by humanitarian agencies, it is not used from the perspective of empowerment that leads to critical thinking, which is the main theme of this think piece.
      Nonetheless, beyond platitudes and good inten­tions, engagement of non-state actors and crisis-affected societies, is not premised in an ethic of em­powerment. True, humanitarian action has saved millions of lives, but the sustainability of its inter­ventions raise fundamental questions as they are not augured on indigenous adaptive strategies, that nurtured a survival niche long before institutional aid came to the scene. By a way of contributing to mend these infirmities, we may theorise such an engagement as a dynamic interaction of policy, strategy, organisation and process.
      This brings up the issue of conceptualising the engagement as a work­ing process, which balanced against strategy, determines what makes for real, as opposed to vacu­ously formulated sloganeering. It suggests itself, seems within reach only to elude, and appears read­ily practicable only to resist realisation: a tendency to narrow the endeavour to the terms and catego­ries of immediate, not very well considered, participatory action, naïve realism, as it were. Those who best understood the lessons of the 20th century were not the ideologues asking, what is to be done? They were those asking, how can people be freer to find their own solutions?

Key words: humanitarianism, WHS, CAP, non-state actors, crises-affected societies
See lecture here

Monday, 8 August 2016

The Proxy Cold War 2.0
Could NATO’s militarisation of the Caucasus, Moscow’s projection in Crimea and Syria, China’s claim to South China Sea & schisms in the Middle East ignite the CW2.0?
Public Lecture, Centre for Human Environment - CXXIV, MMXVI Vol. X No. VII
Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD,
Professor of Public Policy, School of Graduate Studies,
College of Business & Economics, AAU,
Abstract
            Russian statement at the Munich Security Conference - we are in a new Cold War and that this year, 2016 reminds us of 1962, sends unnerving signals of the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, when the world staggered on the threshold of atomic war. Edward Lucas's The New Cold War asserts that Moscow's new battle with the west is not about ideology but power. Painted in black and white, the anti-hero is a Kremlin with evil designs upon a naïve, disorganised ‘West’, while Russia accuses the North Atlantic Treaty of seeking to destabilise the Caucasus with upcoming joint exercises in Georgia. Russia views this consistent 'development' of Georgian territory by NATO soldiers as a provocative move, aiming to destabilise the military-political situation in the Caucasus region deliberately. On the other hand, South China Sea has become a contested region.

            A school of thought prevails that the West should not be afraid of Russian strength, but rather of its fragility because it still possess powerful arsenal. Rather, the US ought to be worried about Europe and the centripetal forces that seem to be pulling apart its closest pool of allies inexorably. The question is what is the best course for the US? Pundits urge caution in response to NATO's plans to deploy battalions to the Baltic States, warning it could lead to another Cold War. Moscow quickly responded that it would position brigades along its EU borders. Then the West continues to build up the eastern flank of NATO, with more battalions, more exercises, and more ships and more platforms, and the Russians will respond. Is it some real strategic thinking or a reaction? It is a tactical ricocheting from crisis-to-crisis, which has been much of what is in the Middle East.
   
      The paper analyses global security governance - the exercise of political, economic and administrative authority to manage inter-governmental affairs. It is the complex mechanisms, processes and institutions, through which states and citizen’s groups articulate their interests, exercise their legal rights and obligations and mediate their differences. The West with its support to an agglomeration of tin-pot dictatorships, Sha’ria tyrannies, banana republics and soon-to-be failed European states cannot lead the world alone any longer. The mono-polar, US-dominated world is history.  A multi-polar world has emerged before our eyes, not just in Russia but also in five or six capitals around the world (Cohen, 2015).

Key words: Cold War 2.0, Russia, US, Europe, nuclear, global security governance, multi polar world
see article here

The simmering Middle East Inferno Chronological Rendition of War, Defeat & Conquest

The simmering Middle East Inferno
Chronological Rendition of War, Defeat & Conquest
Public Lecture, CX, MMXIII Vol. X No. VII
Costantinos Berhutesfa Costantinos, PhD,
Professor of Public Policy, School of Graduate Studies,
College of Business & Economics, AAU,
Abstract
Arab nationalism emerged to prominence with the weakening and defeat of the Ottoman Empire in the 20th century. It degenerated after the defeat of the Arab armies in the Six Day War. It aim was to end of Western influence in the Arab World, seen as a nemesis of Arab strength, and the removal of those Arab governments considered dependent for their survival upon Western powers. The Arab–Israeli conflict refers to the political tension, military conflicts and disputes between a number of Arab countries and Israel. The roots of the modern Arab–Israeli conflict are bound in the rise of Zionism and Arab nationalism towards the end of the 19th century. The Middle Eastern theatre of World War I saw five main campaigns: the Sinai and Palestine Campaign, the Mesopotamian Campaign, the Caucasus Campaign, the Persian Campaign, and the Gallipoli Campaign. There were also several minor campaigns: the North African Campaign, Arab Campaign, and South Arabia Campaign. The post-Ottoman period is rife with conflicts in the Middle East (the Fertile Crescent, Mesopotamia), Levant, and the Delta of the Nile and neighbouring areas of Arabia, Anatolia and Iran). It currently encompasses the area from Egypt, Turkey and Cyprus in the west to Iran and the Persian Gulf in the east, and from Turkey and Iran in the north, to Yemen and Oman in the south. Furthermore, the Muslim split into two main branches, the Sunnis and Shia that originates in a dispute soon after the death of the Prophet Muhammad over who should lead Muslim community. Due to the alarming gains made by the Shiats (Houthis in Yemen) who claimed the right of Ali, the son-in-law of the Prophet Muhammad and his descendants to lead the Islamic community, a Saudi-led coalition of nine Arab nations is already turning Yemen into a phantom state. Yet Egypt’s president, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, has indicated that the coalition’s mandate may be extended beyond Yemen?
See article here